NATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition
Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures thinking. Based on thiscontext, the Future Operating Environment 2024 (FOE24) will address the military problem sets forAllied Warfare Development. FOE24 will also serve as a […]
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AI-Driven Expert-Validated Threat and Foreign Influence Assessments
Speaker: Ms. Jacki Davenport (Seerist) Date: 25 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Seerist developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled threat intelligence platform that utilizes information from open-source resources to identify, monitor, and track global threats. Alongside Deloitte, Seerist also developed the Foreign Influence Risk Index (FIRI), which examines the dynamics of great power competition. Seerist’s AI-enabled […]
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Deterrence Effects of Policing Programs
Author: Dr. Kathleen Kiernan (NEC National Security Systems (NSS)) Publication Preview While there are parallels, the environment in which deterrence occurs for the U.S. Military is vastly different in context than for domestic or international law enforcement. Police can reduce opportunities for crime by intervening before they arise, and deterrence is an even more efficient […]
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Considering How and Why Deterrence Works in Public Health
Author: Dr. Kristina Talbert-Slagle (Yale University) Publication Preview Public health experts often approach “deterrence”—or prevention of behaviors and/or decisions that adversely affect health outcomes—by considering the many factors that influence health behaviors and decision-making. These factors, often called “health determinants,” can be divided into three levels: micro- (individual), meso- (social/community), and macro- (systems). Interventions to […]
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Deterrence and Space Warfare
Author: Dr. John Klein (Delta Solutions & Strategies, LCC) Publication Preview The strategy of space warfare is a subset of general warfare strategy; therefore, the ideas of deterrence, compellence, and dissuasion have applicability in the space domain. Even though deterrence has a legitimate role in future space strategy, it is not the panacea for preventing […]
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The Russian Way of Deterrence: Strategic Culture, Coercion, and War
Speaker: Professor Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky (School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy at Reichman University) Date: 23 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Professor Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky (School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy at Reichman University) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Russia entered the war in Ukraine […]
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Building U.S. Responses to Russia’s Threats to Use Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons: A Game Theoretic Analysis of Brinksmanship
Speaker: Krista S. Langeland (Deputy Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative; Senior Physical Scientist) and Clinton Reach (RAND) Date: 16 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ms. Krista S. Langeland (Deputy Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative; Senior Physical Scientist) and Mr. Clinton Reach (RAND) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” […]
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Constructing Killwebs for Effects Based Targeting in Multi-Domain Operations
Speaker: COL Brian Davis (Northeast Asia Regional Fusion Cell, US Forces Korea) Date: 9 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with COL Brian Davis (Northeast Asia Regional Fusion Cell, US Forces Korea) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. A kill web is defined as a network map of […]
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Hybrid Warfare: Guile Born Out of Weakness
Speaker: Curtis Fox (Author of Hybrid Warfare: The Russian Approach to Strategic Competition & Conventional Military Conflict) Date: 11 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Russia’s historical strategy to protect its sovereign borders and security environment has been to act aggressively with its military, attempting to constantly expand its borders. This aggressive expansion has been a […]
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How do Non-State Entities Taking Actions in a Crisis or Conflict Impact Escalation and Deterrence?
Speaker: Dr. Anna Péczeli (LLNL) Date: 14 December 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Anna Péczeli (LLNL) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Non-state actors have increased in number, their interest in international relations, and influence since the end of the Cold War. These actors include various […]
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