Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures thinking. Based on thiscontext, the Future Operating Environment 2024 (FOE24) will address the military problem sets forAllied Warfare Development. FOE24 will also serve as a […]
Continue ReadingSpeaker: Ms. Jacki Davenport (Seerist) Date: 25 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Seerist developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled threat intelligence platform that utilizes information from open-source resources to identify, monitor, and track global threats. Alongside Deloitte, Seerist also developed the Foreign Influence Risk Index (FIRI), which examines the dynamics of great power competition. Seerist’s AI-enabled […]
Continue ReadingAuthor: Dr. Kathleen Kiernan (NEC National Security Systems (NSS)) Publication Preview While there are parallels, the environment in which deterrence occurs for the U.S. Military is vastly different in context than for domestic or international law enforcement. Police can reduce opportunities for crime by intervening before they arise, and deterrence is an even more efficient […]
Continue ReadingAuthor: Dr. Kristina Talbert-Slagle (Yale University) Publication Preview Public health experts often approach “deterrence”—or prevention of behaviors and/or decisions that adversely affect health outcomes—by considering the many factors that influence health behaviors and decision-making. These factors, often called “health determinants,” can be divided into three levels: micro- (individual), meso- (social/community), and macro- (systems). Interventions to […]
Continue ReadingAuthor: Dr. John Klein (Delta Solutions & Strategies, LCC) Publication Preview The strategy of space warfare is a subset of general warfare strategy; therefore, the ideas of deterrence, compellence, and dissuasion have applicability in the space domain. Even though deterrence has a legitimate role in future space strategy, it is not the panacea for preventing […]
Continue ReadingSpeaker: Professor Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky (School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy at Reichman University) Date: 23 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Russia entered the war in Ukraine with a strategic approach to deterrence, intending to: 1) deter direct involvement by adversaries, 2) paralyze NATO’s assertiveness in the region, and 3) secure the surrender of Kiev. […]
Continue ReadingSpeaker: Krista S. Langeland (Deputy Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative; Senior Physical Scientist); Mr. Clinton Reach (RAND) Date: 16 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Vladimir Putin expected a quick Russian victory after ordering the invasion of Ukraine. However, the war has prolonged, and there is now a possibility that Ukraine might achieve a military victory. […]
Continue ReadingSpeaker: COL Brian Davis (Northeast Asia Regional Fusion Cell, US Forces Korea) Date: 9 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary A kill web is defined as a network map of a collection of kill chains. Colonel (COL) Davis used the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) as a case study to illustrate how a kill web […]
Continue ReadingSpeaker: Curtis Fox (Author of Hybrid Warfare: The Russian Approach to Strategic Competition & Conventional Military Conflict) Date: 11 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Russia’s historical strategy to protect its sovereign borders and security environment has been to act aggressively with its military, attempting to constantly expand its borders. This aggressive expansion has been a […]
Continue ReadingSpeaker: Dr. Anna Péczeli (LLNL) Date: 14 December 2023 Speaker Session Summary Non-state actors have increased in number, their interest in international relations, and influence since the end of the Cold War. These actors include various entities such as financial institutions, terrorist organizations, and private companies. Dr. Péczeli discussed how these institutions affect deterrence, nuclear […]
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