The Escalatory Attraction of Limited Nuclear Employment For Great Power Competitors of the United States

December 2021 No Comments

Author(s): Yeaw, C. (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) Publication Preview The United States has entered into a dangerously new era in which, for the first time in our nation’s history, we now face two nuclear-armed great power competitors. Over the past three decades, while the United States has been focused on a variety […]

Continue Reading

Challenges to 21st Century Deterrence (Part II)

No Comments

Speaker(s): Elder, R. (George Mason University); Siebens, J. (Defense Strategy & Planning Program, Stimson Center); Yeaw, C. (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) Date: 9 December 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Lt Gen (Ret) Robert Elder, PhD (George Mason University), Mr. James A. Siebens (Defense Strategy & Planning Program, […]

Continue Reading

Chinese Illicit Activities Conducted Through Myanmar

November 2021 No Comments

Speaker(s): Tower, J. (Country Director, Burma Program, United States Institute of Peace [USIP]); Rotberg, R. (Founding Director, Program on Intrastate Conflict, Harvard Kennedy School; President Emeritus, World Peace Foundation); Cooper, S. (National Investigations Journalist, Global News); Gaines, J. (Communication and Policy Advisor, Public Affairs) Date: 7 December 2021 Speaker Session Recording Please email Nicole Peterson […]

Continue Reading

Invited Perspective: Anticipating the Effects of Emerging Technologies on Nuclear Deterrence

November 2021 No Comments

Author(s): Sisson, M. (Brookings Institution) Invited Perspective Preview The effectiveness of nuclear deterrence depends upon mutual confidence in second-strike capabilities – for nuclear deterrence to work, nuclear-armed competitors must all believe that each can absorb a first strike and still return a nuclear response. Emerging technologies being pursued by US competitors that enhance their ability […]

Continue Reading

The Role of Nuclear-Conventional Intermingling on State Decision-making and the Risk of Inadvertent Escalation

No Comments

Author(s): Bahney, B. (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]); Péczeli, A. (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]) Publication Preview Questions Addressed What are the implications of nuclear and conventional intermingling on crisis stability and the potential risk of miscalculation? Specifically, how might entanglement influence US and competitor decision making during crisis and conflict? Framing the Problem In […]

Continue Reading

Challenges to 21st Century Deterrence (Part I)

November 2021 No Comments

Speaker(s): Bahney, B. (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]); Péczeli, A. (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]); Sisson, M. (Brookings Institute) Date: 30 November 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Mr. Benjamin W. Bahney (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]), Dr. Anna Péczeli (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]), and Dr. Melanie Sisson (Brookings Institution) […]

Continue Reading

US-Russia Relations in an Era of Strategic Competition

November 2021 No Comments

Speaker(s): Jensen, D. (USIP) Date: 1 December 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Donald N. Jensen (Director of Russia and Strategic Stability, United States Institute of Peace [USIP]) as part of its SMA EUCOM Speaker Series. The way in which great power competition is conducted is changing. This shift is reflected […]

Continue Reading

Unraveling the Resilience of Jihadist Insurgencies: Lessons from Mosul & the Islamic State and The Long Jihad

November 2021 No Comments

Speaker(s): Ingram, H. (Senior Research Fellow, Program on Extremism, George Washington University); Mohammed, O. (Lecturer, Middle East History and Cultural Heritage Diplomacy, Sciences Po University) Date: 17 November 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Haroro Ingram (George Washington University) and Mr. Omar Mohammed (Lecturer, Middle East History and Cultural Heritage […]

Continue Reading

Never Mind, We’ll Do It Ourselves: How a Team of Renegades Broke Rules, Shattered Barriers, and Launched the Drone Warfare Revolution

November 2021 No Comments

Speaker(s): Bierbauer, A. (CEO of Blackrock Strategy, LLC); Cooter, M. (USAF, Retired) Date: 9 November 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Mr. Alec Bierbauer (Blackrock Strategy, LLC) and Col Mark Cooter (USAF, Retired) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series.  The US Department of Defense’s Predator program demonstrated how different organizations […]

Continue Reading

Operations in the Information Environment: Course of Action Analysis Exercise

November 2021 No Comments

Author(s): Ellis, D. (ICONS); Murauskaite E. (ICONS); Ackerman, G. (CART, SUNY Albany); Clifford, D. (CART, SUNY Albany) Publication Preview The ICONS Project, a wargaming and simulation organization at the University of Maryland, was asked bythe Joint Staff, J39, DDGO, Strategic Multilayer Assessment Office (SMA), to design, execute, and analyze aTable Top Exercise (TTX) in support […]

Continue Reading