Leader Assessment of Bashar al-Assad (Part I)
A Multi-disciplinary, Multi-method Approach to Leader Assessment at a Distance: The Case of Bashar al-Assad. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc), Suedfeld, P. (University of British Columbia), Spitaletta, J. (Johns Hopkins University/Applied Physics Laboratory) & Morrison, B. (University of British Columbia). This report suggests potential types of actions and messages most likely to influence […]
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Leader Assessment of Bashar al-Assad (Part II)
A Multi-disciplinary, Multi-method Approach to Leader Assessment at a Distance: The Case of Bashar al-Assad (Part II: Analytic Approaches). Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc) & Suedfeld, P. et al. (University of British Columbia). This report suggests potential types of actions and messages most likely to influence and deter Bashar al-Assad from using force […]
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7th Annual SMA Conference – What Now, What Next?
7th Annual SMA Conference: Over a Decade into the 21st Century…What Now? What Next? Author | Editor: Canna, S. & Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The 7th Annual Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Conference was held at Joint Base Andrews from 13-14 November 2013. The conference was focused on global megatrends and their implications in all spheres […]
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Pathway Indicators Analysis of Pakistan
South Asia II: NSI Pathway Indicators–Pakistan’s Future: Analysis of the Fragmentation and Muddling Through Hypotheses. Author | Editor: Astorino-Courtois, A., Bragg, B., Brickman, D., Canna, S., Desjardins, A., Popp, G., Popp, R. & Williams, R. (NSI, Inc). This report explores the potential pathways associated with two hypothetical futures for the nation of Pakistan–Fragmentation and Muddling […]
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A Multi-Layer Assessment of Terrorism Current & Future
Over a Decade Later…What Now? What Next? A Multi-Layer Assessment of Terrorism in its Current and Future Manifestation Author | Editor: Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff), Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI, Inc), Yandura, M., Sitterle, V. (Georgia Tech), Canna, S. & Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). This report marries contemporary social science theory, applied research, and operational experience to […]
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Perspectives on Terrorism and Responses to It
Looking Back, Looking Forward: Perspectives on Terrorism and Responses to It. Author | Editor: Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff), Sitterle, V. & Yandura, M. (Georgia Tech). This white paper is a follow-on report to a recent publication entitled “Over a Decade Later…What Now? What Next? A Multi-Layer Assessment of Terrorism in its Current and Future Manifestation.” […]
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Social Science Validation and Validity Concepts
Humans in the Loop: Validation and Validity Concepts in the Social Sciences in the Context of Applied and Operational Settings. Author | Editor: Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff), Ehlschlaeger, C. (ERDC), McGee, A. (Naval Postgraduate School) & Ackerman, G. (University of Maryland, START). Threats in the 21st century are increasingly complex, requiring multiple perspectives and disciplines […]
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New Face of Transnational Crime Organizations (TCOs)
The ‘New’ Face of Transnational Crime Organizations (TCOs): A Geopolitical Perspective and Implications for US National Security. Author | Editor: Riley, B. (OSD/RRTO), Kiernan, K., St. Clair, C. (Kiernan Group) & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc). Office of the Secretary of Defense President Barack Obama: Significant transnational criminal organizations constitute an unusual and extraordinary threat to […]
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Neuro-Psychology/Biology of Influence & Extremism
Insights from Neurobiology & Neuropsychology on Influence and Extremism—An Operational Perspective. Author | Editor: Reynolds, M. (JS/J-3/DDGO) & Lyle, D. (USAF). This report provides the operational and policy communities with a deeper understanding of the unique behavioral and neurobiological factors that underlie political extremism enhanced by interaction in the cyber realm. It addresses the implications […]
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Relevance of Behavioral and Social Science to DoD
Operational Relevance of Behavioral & Social Science to DoD Missions. Author | Editor: Canna, S. (NSI, Inc). This paper emerged from the “A World in Transformation: Challenges and Opportunities” Strategic Multi-layer Assessment (SMA) Conference in November 2012.2 Leaders from across the USG addressed the emerging challenges of the 21st century for defense analysts, planners, and […]
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