Deterrence Among Three to Twelve Nuclear Powers: Fundamental Instability and Mitigation Strategy
Author: Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University) Publication Preview The fundamental instability of bilateral nuclear deterrence (Albert Wohlstetter’s “delicate balanceof terror”) is mitigated, in part, by each adversary deploying and maintaining weapons systems thatare capable of guaranteeing a second-strike after an adversary has launched a first-strike. Additionally,bilateral arms control measures (norms, treaties, protocols, institutions) provide […]
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Arms Control Opportunities in the Emerging Two-nuclear-peer Environment
Speakers: Ms. Amy Woolf (Atlantic Council, Snowcraft Center for Strategy and Security) Date: 14 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary Forthcoming! Speaker Session Recording Also forthcoming! Briefing Materials Biography: Amy F. Woolf is a consultant specializing in nuclear weapons and arms control policy. Her research interests include nuclear weapons policy in the United States and Russia, […]
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The Rise of Great Mineral Powers
Speakers: Dr. Morgan Bazilian (Colorado School of Mines) & Gregory Wischer (Dei Gratia Minerals) Date: 16 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary Forthcoming! Speaker Session Recording Also forthcoming! Briefing Materials Reports: The Rise of Great Mineral Powers > Air University (AU) > Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs Article Display The U.S. Military and NATO Face Serious Risks […]
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A Hotter and Drier Future Ahead – An Assessment of Climate Change in U.S. Central Command
Speakers: Dr. Michelle Miro, Dr. Flannery Dolan, Karen Sudkamp, & Jeffrey Martini (RAND) Date: 9 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary Forthcoming! Speaker Series Recording Also forthcoming! Briefing Materials Report: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2338-1.html Biographies: Dr. Michelle Miro is a senior information scientist at RAND and a professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. She has […]
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Responses Against China’s Coercion in the Indo-Pacific: Developing a Toolkit from the Philippines and Taiwan
Speakers: Thomas J. Shattuck (Perry World House) & Robin Michael U. Garcia (Perry World House, WR Advisory Group) Date: 24 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary China has escalated its aggressive and coercive tactics against smaller and less powerful states as part of its objective to become a regional hegemony. Major targets of Chinese aggression since […]
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Assessing the Evolving Russian Nuclear Threat
Speakers: Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security) and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) Date: 17 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The changing nuclear rhetoric and actions from Russian leadership during the Ukraine War has put US and Western leaders on edge. Mr. Lokker, in his […]
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The Globalization Myth: Why Regions Matter
Speaker: Shannon K. O’Neill (Council on Foreign Relations) Date: 16 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary Dr. O’Neil offers a reframed perspective on economic globalization, highlighting the prominence of increased interregional trade rather than international trade. She comments that, with a few notable exceptions like Boeing, the movement of goods and products has predominantly remained regional […]
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The Sanctions Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
Speaker: Christine Abely (New England Law | Boston) Date: 9 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The sanctions imposed on Russia in response to its past aggressive actions, such as the annexation of Crimea, targeted actors directly involved in its aggression. However, the current sanctions imposed on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine have a much […]
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A Climate of Insecurity? Exploring the Nexus of Climate Change and National Security
Speaker: Dr. Samuel Henkin (NSI, Inc.) Date: 4 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The rapidly evolving global climate system is undergoing changes at an unprecedented rate, placing significant strains on governments and communities worldwide. Dr. Henkin underscored that climate change functions as a threat multiplier, intensifying existing social, political, and economic tensions. The concept of […]
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Measuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility
Author: Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) Publication Preview The United States needs more effective metrics to determine if integrated cyber deterrence is working (as called for in the 2023 cyber strategy for the Department of Defense (DOD)) as expected and to separate these effects from those of improving the […]
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