AFRICOM Exploitable Conditions Model (AECM) Network Analysis Report
Author: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems that comprise the operational environmentinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Anticipating the Future OperationalEnvironment (AFOE) project models this complexity with special relevance to US national securityconcerns. The AFOE team constructed a generic Global Exploitable Conditions Model (GECM) […]
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Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Sahelian Computational Models
Author: Kuznar , L. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems comprise the operational environment andinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Anticipating the Future OperationalEnvironment (AFOE) project models this complexity with special relevance to US national securityconcerns. The AFOE team constructed a generic Global Exploitable Conditions Model […]
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How Strategy Must Align to Strategic Environments: Deterrence and Initiative Persistence
Speakers: Dr. Richard Harknett (University of Cincinnati) Date: 10 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary There have been several strategic paradigm shifts relating to deterrence, coercion, and security across the entire spectrum of conflict and competition. Using the proper deterrence and coercion strategy in the right domain is crucial to success. Dr. Harknett emphasized that the […]
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CCP Weapons of Mass Persuasion
Speakers: Dr. Jackie Deal (President, Long Term Strategy Group) & Ms. Ella Harvey (Public Service Fellow, John’s Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies) Date: 2 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Jackie Deal (President, Long Term Strategy Group) and Ms. Ella Harvey (Public Service Fellow, John’s Hopkins School of Advanced International […]
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Escalation Management in International Conflict: The United States and its Adversaries
Speakers: Ms. Egle Murauskaite (ICONS Project, University of Maryland), Mr. Devin H. Ellis (Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS), University of Maryland) Date: 25 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ms. Egle Murauskaite (ICONS Project, University of Maryland) and Mr. Devin H. Ellis (Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS), University of Maryland) […]
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Military-Intelligence Relations: Explaining the Oxymoron
Speaker: Dr. Jeffrey Rogg (Joint Special Operations University) Date: 26 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Jeffrey Rogg(Joint Special Operations University) as part of its SMA General Series. The professionalization of the US intelligence community has been a long process and frequently limited by the civilian-military relationship. The relationship between […]
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Combined-Effects Competition & Warfare: Strategies from China and Russia
Speaker: Dr. Tom Drohan (Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies) Date: 19 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Thomas Drohan (Professor Emeritus of Military and Strategic Studies, U.S. Air Force Academy; Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies) as part of its SMA STRATCOM Series. Authoritarian regimes and democratic countries tend to view […]
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Insights on 20 Years of Counterinsurgency Research
Speaker: Dr. Elizabeth Radziszewski (University of Maryland START, Irregular Warfare and Conflict Assessment Group) Date: 18 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Elizabeth Radziszewski (University of Maryland, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Through the 2000s and […]
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Caveat Emptor: The Pros and Cons of Strategic Culture as an Analytical Concept
Speaker: Dr. Alastair Iain Johnston (Harvard University) Date: 12 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary Dr. Johnston described the four main generations of strategic culture research. During the first generation (1970s) a baseline was created for how scientists viewed the intersection of how political thought and the use of force influences governments’ strategic choices. The second […]
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The COVID-19 Intelligence Failure: Why Warning Was Not Enough
Speaker: Dahl, E. (Naval Postgraduate School) Date: 5 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Erik Dahl (National Security Affairs Department, Naval Postgraduate School) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Scholars and members of the intelligence community have historically caught early warning signs of national security disasters—like the COVID-19 […]
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